Monday, October 27, 2008

Najib’s task..


Najib as the new Finance Minister should be more forthcoming on our economy and how the Government proposes to insulate us against the tidal wave of economic bad news. the Malaysian economy is an open one and we need to take immediate remedial measures. The recent move to cut the helicopter deal does not fall into the category of fiscal action that will help. It merely postpones the development/capital expenditure to a later date!

This points out that commecial paper creation and trading, the life blood of trade and commerce, is shrinking. The same is true for bonds and other forms of credit creation. Our interest rates, though low enough, may need to be adjusted down as has happened with nearly all our neighbours.

Given the current situation where the private sector is not going to take the initiative, and with banks not giving the full credit support that the private sector needs to operate optimally, that leaves only fiscal policy measures to safeguard and insulate our economy.

All unnecessary expenditure must be immediately put on the backburner while the Govt embarks on direct pump priming that will not only have immediate impact but will result in longer term value adding to growth. This means public works and infrastructure.

Agriculture, especially food production, needs to be prioritised; SMEs need further tax incentives while the services sector also needs to be pushed. Fiscal policy measures do not just mean tax measures. I am sure the FM knows the range of tools under his direct control. That means he should not wait until next year to review the budget that was just revealed in Parliament. That Budget was premised on conditions that do not exist any more and are unlikely to return.

Boosting the stock market may be confidence building but it would be of more value if the brokers margin call are mitigated with bank support so that the market freefall can he slowed down. Secondly, revenues were premised on prices of commodities before the financial and economic breakdown of the West. We have to adjust our cloth to fit the new cut.

Monetary policy measures including direct intervention by BNM, like the Fed Reserve in new credit creation, may be necessary if the banks are afraid to lend money. as mentioned earlier, institutional investors are not accepting or renewing commercial paper take up nor bond issues. Banks may be holding back on loan drawdowns. BNM need to monitor this and ensure the economy's lifeblood, that is credit, does not suffer from blockage or seizure.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

UMNO dominant or component parties weak?

Think again!

BN component parties should to appreciate Umno's strength that had enabled the coalition to form a government at the federal level and that they must use Umno's strength to strengthen themselves.

The idea that Umno is being too dominant in Barisan Nasional (BN) is ridiculous, says Johor Baru Umno division chief Datuk Shahrir Abdul Samad.

He said that if BN component parties thought that Umno was dominant, they must understand why it was so.

"Is it because the component parties themselves are weak, and what would be the solution to it? he asked, adding that the matter should not be used by the component parties to cover their weaknesses following the last general election results.

Shahrir, who is also Domestic Trade and Consumers Affairs Minister, said Umno could not reduce its power for the sake of providing a so-called "level playing field" for the component parties.

"By doing so, it would lead to BN losing everything to the opposition," he said.

Shahrir said the perception that UMNO was too dominant was created by the opposition parties as part of their efforts to weaken the support, especially among the non-Malays, for BN.

The Johor Baru member of parliament did not rule out the possibility that communication problems among BN component party leaders had contributed to the perception problem and suggested that this situation be rectified.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

MCA: Kaji semula kedudukan dominan UMNO dalam BN


Pemuda MCA hari ini mahu kedudukan dominan Umno dalam Barisan Nasional dikaji semula.

Ketika membuat gesaan itu, Ketua Pemuda MCA, Datuk Liow Tiong Lai berkata, ini boleh dilakukan dengan menambah satu lagi jawatan timbalan pengerusi BN.

Pada masa ini, pengerusi Dewan Tertinggi BN ialah presiden UMNO yang juga perdana menteri.

Kontrak Sosial diterima?


Kolumnis Malaysian Insider, Wan Hamidi Hamid berkata tidak sesiapa pun mempertikaikan kontrak sosial antara kaum yang telah mewujudkan Malaysia merdeka lebih 50 tahun lalu.

Tanpa mengulangi segala perdebatan yang berlangsung sejak sekian lama berhubung perkara ini sama ada di media arus perdana ataupun media alternatif, apa yang diperhatikan oleh Hamidi jelas sekadar perspektif luaran.

Setelah menyorot hampir kesemua komen dan kritikan yang tersiar dalam Internet dan media arus perdana, rata-rata saya melihat ada golongan yang secara terang-terangan mempersoalkan kesahihan kontrak tersebut.

Kebanyakan mereka menafikan kewujudan kontrak itu sementara yang akur dengannya pula cuba mengikut arus dengan rasional beralas demi kepentingan sendiri.

Tidak...tidak benar sama sekali golongan bukan Melayu menerima kontrak sosial. Yang pasti dan nyata mereka bergerak menafikan kewujudan perjanjian tersebut.

Berdasarkan ini maka tidak timbul isu samada mereka menerima quid pro quo berkenaan seperti yang ditegaskan semula oleh Majlis Raja-Raja kelmarin.

Monday, October 13, 2008

Petisyen pilihan raya Kulim-Bandar baharu ditarik balik


Bekas calon BN Kulim-Bandar Baharu, Datuk Abdul Aziz Sheikh Fadzir menarik balik petisyennya hari ini dengan alasan "ingin memberikan lebih tumpuan kepada isu-isu ekonomi" dan "pilihanraya semula akan memakan banyak tenaga."

"Lagi pun, satu kerusi tambahan, tidak memberikan kesan apa-apa," katanya.

Keputusan ini dicapai beberapa hari lepas hasil perbincangan pemimpin BN, katanya.

Mahkamah Tinggi Alor Star hari ini membatalkan petisyen itu selepas keputusan mendadak calon BN itu.

Mengulas desas-desus wakil rakyat PKR kawasan itu Zulkifli Nordin akan menyertai Umno, Abdul Aziz berkata beliau tidak tahu tentang perkara tersebut.

"Tetapi saya juga ada mendengar khabar angin itu," katanya.

Zulkifli terlibat membantah penganjuran forum 'Memeluk Islam' anjuran Majlis Peguam awal Ogos lalu.

Penglibatannya menimbulkan pelbagai reaksi pro dan kontra sehingga dihadapkan ke jawatankuasa disiplin PKR pada 6 September.

Bagaimanapun, sebarang keputusan belum dibuat hingga kini.

Desas-desus mengatakan beliau akan menyertai Umno kerana tidak berpuas hati berhubung tindakan parti itu, yang dikepalai Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.

Abdul Aziz, ditanya sama ada keputusan beliau menarik balik petisyen itu akan menyebabkan kerugian bagi Umno dan dirinya, beliau berkata:

"Saya cuma hilang satu peluang. Bagaimanapun, di hujungnya, rakyat akan buat keputusan."

Beliau yang juga ketua bahagian Umno Kulim-Bandar Baharu mendakwa masih mempunyai tanggungjawab dan tugas yang sama seperti Zulkifli walaupun tidak menjadi wakil rakyat.

"Saya ada pusat khidmat masyarakat. Saya masih bekerja macam biasa, cuma tidak menjadi ahli parlimen sahaja," katanya.

Sementara itu, peguam Zulkifli, Aaqbal Shiffudin Adnan Sallehudin berkata pihaknya gembira dengan keputusan mahkamah itu.

Bagaimanapun, peguamnya itu belum mendapat maklum balas daripada anak guamnya.

Ahli parlimen itu tidak menghadiri sidang Dewan Rakyat hari ini.

Abdul Aziz menfailkan petisyen bantahan kepada Zulkifli atas alasan lawannya itu telah gagal mengemukakan kenyataan perbelanjaannya sewaktu kempen pilihanraya umum 2004.

Mengikut akta pilihanraya, setiap calon yang tidak mengemukakan kenyataan perbelanjaan kepada Suruhanjaya Pilihanraya (SPR), tidak dibenarkan bertanding dalam pilihanraya seterusnya.

Pada 2004, Zulkifli bertanding kerusi parlimen Kuala Langat di Selangor tetapi kalah kepada calon BN dari Umno, Datuk Dr Shafie Mohd Salleh.

Dalam petisyennya, Abdul Aziz juga mendakwa bahawa pegawai pengurus pilihanraya telah gagal bertindak terhadap Zulkifli walaupun mempunyai dokumen yang mengesahkan kegagalannya mengemukakan kenyataan perbelanjaannya.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Capital Flight: Anwar silap


Anwar menyangka dapat menjatuhkan kredibiliti ekonomi negara semasa mengambil bahagian pada satu forum di Hong Kong baru-baru ini.

Fakta yang dikemukakannya salah kerana pengaliran FDI dari Malaysia sebenarnya bukan boleh diertikan sebagai 'capital flight.' Ia adalah pengaliran keluar dana oleh syarikat-syarikat transnasional kepunyaan Malaysia sendiri secara terancang.

Ini membuktikan aliran keluar (82% atau A$10bil) dan masuk sebenarnya positif walaupun pengaliran keluar mengatasi pengaliran masuk.

Jika Anwar ingin menyerang kerajaan, dia sepatutnya mengingatkan dirinya dahulu bahawa dialah penyebab utama ketidaktentuan politik yang menyumbang kepada pengurangan pelaburan dari luar pada waktu ini. Malah diketahui Anwar telah mengadakan beberapa perjumpaan dengan para Pengurus Dana bagi memujuk mereka agar tidak melabur di Malaysia.

Ini jelas satu pengkhianatan nyata, semata mata kerana dia terlalu gilakan jawatan PERDANA MENTERI.